- Illinois State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Murray State
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- Murray State / Illinois State TV channel: ESPNU
The Murray State Racers visit CEFCU Arena to take on the Illinois State Redbirds on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Normal, IL.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Murray State vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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Murray State vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Murray State vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Murray State vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence for today’s game.
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Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 5.93% ROI
- 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
- 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).
- 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -8.46% ROI
- 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI
- 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Murray State is shooting 76% from the free throw line (498/656) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71%
Murray State has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Murray State has 23.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 20.6
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State is shooting 47% (741/1,580) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Illinois State is shooting 47% (741/1,580) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%
Illinois State has averaged 11.1 turnovers per game (300 turnovers/27 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Illinois State is shooting 35% from three (233/665) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Murray State allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Murray State has allowed 79.5 points per game (2,226 points/28 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Murray State has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,838 points/1,538 shots) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Illinois State has allowed 6.4 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Illinois State has allowed 68.1 points per game (1,838 points/27 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.1
Illinois State has allowed 69.7 points per game (6,269 points/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.6
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