- Murray State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
- Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
- Murray State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+
The Murray State Racers visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Murray State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 155.5 total points.
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Murray State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Murray State | -5.5 -115 | O 155.5 -115 | -250 |
| Valparaiso | +5.5 -105 | U 155.5 -105 | 200 |
Murray State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 69.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Murray State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Valparaiso Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Valparaiso have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.13 Units / 12% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 27.17% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 2.49% ROI
- 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
- 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Valparaiso has a 6-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -21.26% ROI
- 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (1,029 free throw attempts/2,499 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (305 free throw attempts/743 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%
Murray State has averaged 1.45 points per shot (1,076 points/743 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Murray State has a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (261/634) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 42%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (73/242) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,162/2,585) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 41st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (930 turnovers/76 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (1,029 free throw attempts/2,499 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Murray State has a 41% free throw rate (305 free throw attempts/743 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 35%
Murray State has averaged 1.45 points per shot (1,076 points/743 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Murray State has a TS% of 51% this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%
Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (261/634) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 42%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (73/242) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 32%
Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,162/2,585) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 41st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Valparaiso has forced 12.2 turnovers per game (930 turnovers/76 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
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