Murray State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 14

Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
  • Western Kentucky is a -5.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Murray State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Murray State Racers visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Dec. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Murray State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+5.5 -115O 148.5 -115+180
Western Kentucky -5.5 -105U 148.5 -105-225

Murray State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Murray State will win this college basketball game with 54.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.42 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 0.72% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 5-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 44.83% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 5.09% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State averaged 11.5 assists per game (368 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Western Kentucky had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (430 assists/ 440 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Western Kentucky shot 34% from three (222/649) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Murray State allowed 69.9 points per game (2,237 points/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (268/835) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky stole the ball 248 times last season — 3rd most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,398 points/2,023 shots) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.