As the college basketball calendar pushes into late February and early March, nothing in sports gets more attention than the NCAA Tournament bubble.
Teams on the right side of the bubble? They’ll make the tournament and have a chance to shock the world.
For others, their tournament bubble will burst. They’ll have to start the long college hoops offseason grind.Â
Of course, all of these bubble teams could play themselves off the bubble by winning their conference tournament in March. Otherwise they’ll be sweating it out with the rest of the bubble gang on Selection Sunday.
I have collated the list below by looking at multiple NCAA bubble projections, including Joe Lunardi’s at ESPN and Jerry Palm’s at CBS. I then split the teams into buckets and organized them according to their KenPom rating.Â
Here’s an updated look at the men’s NCAA Tournament bubble, as of March 2.
NCAA Tournament Bubble Teams
| Current Status | Team | KenPom Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Last Four Byes | Ohio State | 35 |
| Last Four Byes | Texas A&M | 38 |
| Last Four Byes | SMU | 39 |
| Last Four Byes | San Diego State | 42 |
| Last Four In | Santa Clara | 37 |
| Last Four In | Auburn | 40 |
| Last Four In | New Mexico | 46 |
| Last Four In | TCU | 49 |
| First Four Out | Indiana | 43 |
| First Four Out | VCU | 45 |
| First Four Out | Seton Hall | 53 |
| First Four Out | Cal | 73 |
| Next Four Out | Virginia Tech | 57 |
| Next Four Out | West Virginia | 59 |
| Next Four Out | Stanford | 65 |
| Next Four Out | USC | 67 |
Last Four Byes
Last Four In
- Santa Clara
- Auburn
- New Mexico
- TCU
First Four Out
- Indiana
- VCU
- Seton Hall
- Cal
Next Four Out
- Virginia Tech
- West Virginia
- Stanford
- USC
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