- Arizona State is a -2.5 point favorite vs Nevada
- Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
- Watch the March Madness First Four play-in game on truTV
The #11 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-10) visit UD Arena to take on the #11 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (22-12) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Dayton.
Arizona State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Nevada vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 133.5 total points.
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Nevada vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | +2.5 -110 | O 133.5 | +115 |
| Arizona State | -2.5 -110 | U 133.5 | -140 |
Nevada vs Arizona State Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this March Madness game with 52.0% confidence.
Nevada vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and Arizona State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Nevada Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
Arizona State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 46 games (+23.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Nevada has gone 19-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 9.98% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
Arizona State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arizona State has gone 15-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.85 Units / -15.64% ROI).
- 22-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 8.56% ROI
- 17-17 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 17-17 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:
Nevada has averaged 0.92 points per shot (100 points/109 shots) on mid-range shots this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 0.76
Nevada is shooting 46% (50/109) on mid-range shots this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 38%
Nevada has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Nevada is shooting 46% from inside the arc (50/109) on mid-range shots this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 38%
Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arizona State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (3,669 points/3,242 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.24
Arizona State has averaged 1.04 points per shot (1,699 points/1,638 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.15
Arizona State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (3,669 points/3,242 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Arizona State has a TS% of 45% this season — 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:
Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (171/512) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7
Nevada has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (300 turnovers/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6
Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arizona State has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Arizona State has averaged 7.1 steals per game (164 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Arizona State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (213 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Arizona State has 164 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams
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