Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

(AP Photo)
  • San Diego State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Nevada
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Nevada / San Diego State TV channel: FS1

The Nevada Wolf Pack visit Viejas Arena to take on the San Diego State Aztecs on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in San Diego, CA, USA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-118).

The Nevada vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Nevada vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nevada+5.5 -102O 132.5 -110+220
San Diego State -5.5 -118U 132.5 -110-275

Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nevada vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.41 Units / 3% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+7.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.24 Units / 20% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+0.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -10.79% ROI).

  • 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -4.72% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -11.18% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 10-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.7 Units / -29.24% ROI).

  • 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 4.05% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nevada averaged 44% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (824 free throw attempts/1,860 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Nevada averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,582 points/1,860 shots) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State had a TS% of 46% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State attempted 795 threes last season — most among Mountain West Teams

San Diego State shot 44% (926/2,100) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

San Diego State had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Nevada allowed 67.0 points per game (2,278 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (2,030 points/1,571 shots) this season — 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Nevada has allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.6

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (587/1,549) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,430/3,609) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

San Diego State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,786 points/1,549 shots) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

San Diego State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (843/2,060) last season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.