New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 15

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  • Liberty is a -9.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Liberty TV channel: CBSN

The New Mexico State Aggies visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Jan. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The New Mexico State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 61.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+11.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -3.69% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI).

  • 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.75 Units / 1.46% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,333 assists/ 796 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/15 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Liberty has a TS% of 53% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty is shooting 49% (2,207/4,541) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (202 assists/ 175 TOs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State shot 46% from inside the arc (239/525) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

New Mexico State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (343 assists/ 350 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State is shooting 72% from the free throw line (241/335) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 69%

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,333 assists/ 796 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has averaged 9.0 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/15 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Liberty has a TS% of 53% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty is shooting 49% (2,207/4,541) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 45%

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (202 assists/ 175 TOs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State shot 46% from inside the arc (239/525) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

New Mexico State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (343 assists/ 350 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State is shooting 72% from the free throw line (241/335) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 69%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.