New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Western Kentucky is a -6.5 point favorite vs New Mexico State
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • New Mexico State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The New Mexico State Aggies visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • New Mexico State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 75% ROI)
  • New Mexico State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)

New Mexico State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico State has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -29.9% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 4.07% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

New Mexico State Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (343 assists/ 350 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State shot 46% from inside the arc (239/525) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

New Mexico State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (353 assists/ 272 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

New Mexico State has a TS% of 47% this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (346 assists/ 271 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Western Kentucky is shooting 76% from the free throw line (487/638) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 70%

Western Kentucky averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (440 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Western Kentucky averaged 80.8 points per game (2,586 points/32 games) last season — 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

New Mexico State Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (414/1,385) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 33%

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (660/2,106) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

New Mexico State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (414/1,385) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

New Mexico State allowed opponents to shoot 40% (703/1,775) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Kentucky allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (675 rebounds/26 games) this season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.1


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