Niagara vs Merrimack Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

(AP Photo)
  • Merrimack is a -7.5 point favorite vs Niagara
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Niagara / Merrimack TV channel: ESPN+

The Niagara Purple Eagles visit Lawler Arena to take on the Merrimack Warriors on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in North Andover, MA, USA.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Niagara vs. Merrimack Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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Niagara vs. Merrimack Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Niagara+7.5 -110O 127.5 -115+275
Merrimack -7.5 -110U 127.5 -105-350

Niagara vs Merrimack Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Niagara vs Merrimack Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Niagara has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.77 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 away games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.57 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 32 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Niagara has a 7-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.35 Units / -33.33% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -29.98% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 11.86% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI

Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has averaged 1.31 points per shot (3,617 points/2,766 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Niagara averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (208 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Niagara is shooting 56% from inside the arc (275/490) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Niagara averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,239 points/1,698 shots) last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 64.3 points per game (1,415 points/22 games) this season — tied for lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 68.9

Merrimack has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (345 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack has averaged 11.7 assists per game (257 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 13.1

Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Niagara has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (422 rebounds/20 games) this season — 5th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Niagara allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed 64.6 points per game (1,422 points/22 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.1

Merrimack has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.9

Merrimack has averaged 9.3 steals per game (501 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.