Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 20

• Mount St. Mary’s is a -6.5 point favorite vs Niagara
• Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
• Niagara / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Niagara Purple Eagles visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers on Feb. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Emmitsburg, MD.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 72.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.

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Niagara Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Niagara have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Niagara have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Niagara has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
• Niagara has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
• Niagara has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 25 games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Niagara has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -16.12% ROI).

• 6-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -41.36% ROI
• 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
• 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.66% ROI).

• 11-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -9.47% ROI
• 9-17 when betting the Over for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI
• 17-9 when betting the Under for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI

Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has 13.5 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 18.2

Niagara has averaged 63.1 points per game (1,577 points/25 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 70.7

Niagara averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,239 points/1,698 shots) last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Niagara has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (170 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (397 turnovers/26 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (397 turnovers/26 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (920 turnovers/62 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.3 turnovers per game (397 turnovers/26 games) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Niagara allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Niagara averaged 5.6 steals per game (173 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (617/1,524) this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/26 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/26 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Mount St. Mary’s forced 12.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/28 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

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