Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 5

Mount St. Mary's head coach Dan Engelstad directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 16, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
  • Mount St. Mary’s is a -5.5 point favorite vs Niagara
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Niagara / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Niagara Purple Eagles visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers on Jan. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Emmitsburg, MD.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Niagara vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Niagara+5.5 -115O 137.5 -105+190
Mount St. Mary’s -5.5 -105U 137.5 -115-250

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 75.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Niagara vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Niagara has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Niagara have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+4.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Niagara have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Niagara has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+6.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Niagara has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -13.51% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 9-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 77.21% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Over for +3.65 Units / 27.76% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -36.23% ROI

Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara has averaged 1.32 points per shot (3,083 points/2,344 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Niagara averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,239 points/1,698 shots) last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Niagara has a TS% of 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Niagara has an eFG% of 53% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 49%

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s had 15.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.5

Mount St. Mary’s has 21.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s had a TS% of 49% last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 73.0 points per game (949 points/13 games) this season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 68.9

Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:

Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Niagara has averaged 5.8 steals per game (248 steals/43 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Niagara averaged 5.6 steals per game (173 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (88/306) this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 35%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (949 points/793 shots) this season — tied for best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.28

Mount St. Mary’s allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (1,994 points/1,624 shots) last season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.22

Mount St. Mary’s forced 12.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/28 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.2


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