Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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  • Incarnate Word is a -2.5 point favorite vs Nicholls State
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Nicholls State / Incarnate Word TV channel: ESPN+

The Nicholls State Colonels visit McDermott Center to take on the Incarnate Word Cardinals on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

Incarnate Word is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Nicholls State vs. Incarnate Word Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Nicholls State+2.5 -110O 149.5 -110+118
Incarnate Word -2.5 -110U 149.5 -110-145

Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Incarnate Word will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Incarnate Word will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Nicholls has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nicholls has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.75 Units / 21% ROI)

Nicholls State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nicholls State has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -20.25% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 8-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -30.86% ROI).

  • 7-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -15.21% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Nicholls State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (341/516) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Nicholls State has a TS% of 46% this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Nicholls State had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 46%

Nicholls State averaged 12.5 turnovers per game (413 turnovers/33 games) last season — 5th highest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word is shooting 38% from three (494/1,317) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 34%

Incarnate Word has averaged 11.7 assists per game (292 assists/25 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Incarnate Word is shooting 38% from three (494/1,317) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 34%

Incarnate Word is shooting 38% from three (215/565) this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 34%

Nicholls State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nicholls State has averaged 18.7 defensive rebounds per game (467 rebounds/25 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Nicholls State has averaged 18.7 defensive rebounds per game (467 rebounds/25 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 22.2

Nicholls State has averaged 9.7 steals per game (243 steals/25 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Nicholls State allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (218/703) last season — 3rd best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (984 turnovers/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 12.6

Incarnate Word has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Incarnate Word has averaged 6.3 steals per game (562 steals/89 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Incarnate Word has averaged 5.6 steals per game (140 steals/25 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.4


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