North Carolina vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

California head coach Mark Madsen during an NCAA college basketball game against Stanford in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • North Carolina is a -6.5 point favorite vs California
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • North Carolina / California TV channel: ACCN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Haas Pavilion to take on the California Golden Bears on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Berkeley, CA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-102).

The North Carolina vs. California Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under

North Carolina vs California Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs California Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+19.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+7.45 Units / 0% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • California has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+12.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • California has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • California have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • California has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI

California Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

California has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 1.29% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

California is shooting 32% from three (321/998) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

California averaged 11.2 assists per game (145 assists/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.9

California is shooting 79% from the free throw line (318/401) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

California has averaged 11.9 assists per game (967 assists/81 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.7

California Offensive Stats & Trends:

California forced 10.5 turnovers per game (137 turnovers/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

California has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,678 points/1,981 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

California has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (446/1,064) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

California allowed 76.8 points per game (2,303 points/30 games) last season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

California is shooting 32% from three (321/998) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

California averaged 11.2 assists per game (145 assists/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.9

California is shooting 79% from the free throw line (318/401) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

California has averaged 11.9 assists per game (967 assists/81 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.7

California Defensive Stats & Trends:

California forced 10.5 turnovers per game (137 turnovers/13 games) last season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

California has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,678 points/1,981 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

California has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (446/1,064) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

California allowed 76.8 points per game (2,303 points/30 games) last season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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