- Duke (16-6) are -3.5 point favorites vs North Carolina (15-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-7) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (16-6) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Durham.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The North Carolina vs. Duke Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | +3.5 -115 | O 145.5 -110 | +135 |
| Duke | -3.5 -105 | U 145.5 -110 | -160 |
North Carolina vs Duke Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 57.3% confidence.
North Carolina vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 49 games (+11.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+9.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has gone 7-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.55 Units / -39.38% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -2.55% ROI
- 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has gone 8-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.13% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has averaged 78.2 points per game (2,032 points/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.3
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
Duke is shooting 42% (275/649) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
Duke has averaged 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (298 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6
Duke has averaged 16.9 assists per game (661 assists/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 14.2
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (262 turnovers/26 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.4
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Duke has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (679 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (131/425) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
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