North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • North Carolina is a -2.5 point favorite vs Florida State
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • North Carolina / Florida State TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Donald L. Tucker Civic Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL, USA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. Florida State Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-2.5 -105O 155.5 -105-140
Florida State +2.5 -115U 155.5 -115+115

North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 79.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+8.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 away games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+1.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 39 games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 39 games (+0.39 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+5.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 9-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.85 Units / -35.11% ROI).

  • 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.19% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.35% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -22.09% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.11% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 85.9 points per game (3,178 points/37 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.6

North Carolina averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/35 games) last season — 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina is shooting 47% (782/1,651) this season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has a 40% free throw rate (605 free throw attempts/1,504 field goal attempts) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida State has a 38% free throw rate (565 free throw attempts/1,500 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 29%

Florida State had 22.2 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Florida State averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (687 free throw attempts/1,883 field goal attempts) last season — 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (734 rebounds/27 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (504 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (216 steals/25 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.