- North Carolina (18-11) is a North Carolina -7.5 point favorite vs Florida State (9-20)
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels (18-11) visit Donald L. Tucker Civic Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles (9-20) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Tallahassee.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The North Carolina vs. Florida State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -7.5 -115 | O 154.5 -110 | -350 |
| Florida State | +7.5 -105 | U 154.5 -110 | +275 |
North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 66.5% confidence.
North Carolina vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Florida State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+0.45 Units / 3% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has gone 9-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-13.05 Units / -40.85% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -5% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has gone 12-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.75 Units / -21.13% ROI).
- 9-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.55 Units / -37.16% ROI
- 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
- 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has attempted 543 free throws this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has made 399 free throws this season — most among ACC Teams
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has averaged 69.7 points per game (1,602 points/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 72.7
Florida State has averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (289 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Florida State is shooting 34% from three (71/206) in the second half this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Florida State has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7
North Carolina has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (631 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (170 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (228 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Florida State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (398 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Florida State has 398 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th most among ACC Teams
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