North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

• North Carolina State is a -5.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
• Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
• North Carolina / North Carolina State TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Lenovo Center to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Raleigh, NC.

North Carolina State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. North Carolina State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this college basketball game with 69.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence for today’s game.

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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+16.10 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 3% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
• NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• NC State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.9% ROI).

• 20-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.1 Units / 0.79% ROI
• 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
• 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.7% ROI).

• 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.05 Units / -1.12% ROI
• 16-10 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI
• 10-16 when betting the Under for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 3.8 turnovers per game (96 turnovers/25 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (420 assists/ 232 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (494 assists/ 276 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (203 assists/ 96 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 1.40 points per shot (2,209 points/1,580 shots) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

North Carolina State is shooting 39% from three (276/700) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (384 turnovers/41 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.5

North Carolina State has averaged 85.0 points per game (2,209 points/26 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 76.1

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,761 points/1,583 shots) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,761 points/1,583 shots) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (672 rebounds/26 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.0

North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (173/457) this season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina State has forced 13.5 turnovers per game (350 turnovers/26 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina State has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

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