North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Notre Dame head coach Mike Brey looks on against North Carolina during an NCAA college basketball game on Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 2:39 PM
  • North Carolina (16-11) is a North Carolina -6.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame (10-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels (16-11) visit Purcell Pavilion to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-17) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in South Bend.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-6.5 -105O 147.5 -105-275
Notre Dame +6.5 -115U 147.5 -115+230

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 62.9% confidence.

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Notre Dame will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina and Notre Dame, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+13.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 47 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+3.05 Units / 3% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has gone 8-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-12.95 Units / -43.53% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -7.39% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has gone 8-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-12.9 Units / -43.43% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -12.68% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.4% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -14.81% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

North Carolina has averaged 78.2 points per game (2,032 points/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.3

North Carolina has attempted 1,273 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (150 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Notre Dame has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Notre Dame is shooting 39% from three (206/526) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Notre Dame has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (273 assists/ 201 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (715 points/660 shots) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Notre Dame has averaged 5.0 steals per game (286 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has averaged 4.8 steals per game (110 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.