- North Carolina is a -1.5 point favorite vs SMU
- Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
- North Carolina / SMU TV channel: CW
The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Moody Coliseum to take on the SMU Mustangs on Jan. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 2:15pm EST in Dallas, TX.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The North Carolina vs. SMU Over/Under is 156.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. SMU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -1.5 -115 | O 156.5 -115 | -130 |
| SMU | +1.5 -105 | U 156.5 -105 | 105 |
North Carolina vs SMU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs SMU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts SMU will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+21.30 Units / 2% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games (+13.40 Units / 1% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+7.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+6.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games at home (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 9-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.5 Units / 22.65% ROI).
- 13-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 0.67% ROI
- 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -45.45% ROI
- 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.75 Units / -12.11% ROI).
- 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed an average of 0.99 points per shot (892 points/902 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (326/902) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
North Carolina has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/14 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/14 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.7
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 3.9 turnovers per game (55 turnovers/14 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.5
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,294 assists/ 883 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (117 assists/ 55 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed an average of 0.99 points per shot (892 points/902 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 36% (326/902) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
North Carolina has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/14 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/14 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.7
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 3.9 turnovers per game (55 turnovers/14 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.5
North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,294 assists/ 883 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (117 assists/ 55 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
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