North Carolina vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 14

Stanford head coach Kyle Smith during an NCAA college basketball game against California in Berkeley, Calif., Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • North Carolina is a -3.5 point favorite vs Stanford
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • North Carolina / Stanford TV channel: ACCN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Maples Pavilion to take on the Stanford Cardinal on Jan. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Stanford, CA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The North Carolina vs. Stanford Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

North Carolina vs Stanford Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Stanford will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Stanford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Stanford will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+19.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Stanford have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+3.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Stanford has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.70 Units / 11% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 9-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 7.37% ROI).

  • 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 0.66% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Stanford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Stanford has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.05% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (282 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (425 assists/ 245 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,335 assists/ 907 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (316 assists/ 227 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Stanford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Stanford has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 45% (829/1,844) last season — tied for 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (247/687) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (87/261) last season — 4th highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (282 assists/ 163 TOs) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (425 assists/ 245 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,335 assists/ 907 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (316 assists/ 227 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Stanford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Stanford has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 45% (829/1,844) last season — tied for 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (247/687) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Stanford allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (87/261) last season — 4th highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.