North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
  • North Carolina is a -9.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • North Carolina State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC, USA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+9.5 -110O 146.5 -105+375
North Carolina -9.5 -110U 146.5 -115-500

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+6.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+3.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+6.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.69 Units / 6% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 8-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.7 Units / -38.84% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -1.98% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.1 Units / 22.18% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 7-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12.85 Units / -44.77% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -0.46% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.25 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.54% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/25 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 1.19 points per shot (1,737 points/1,454 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.30

North Carolina State has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (599 turnovers/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina has averaged 80.3 points per game (2,087 points/26 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (548 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.3

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State has 455 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (172 steals/27 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,720 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.