- Virginia is a -1.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
- Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
- North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2
The North Carolina State Wolfpack visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Dec. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 121.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +1.5 -120 | O 121.5 -110 | -110 |
| Virginia | -1.5 +100 | U 121.5 -110 | -110 |
North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina State will win this college basketball game with 78.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 games (+18.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.57 Units / 6% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 20 away games (+2.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -20.38% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 1.25% ROI
- 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 5-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 7.9% ROI
- 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/39 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
North Carolina State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (78/115) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 72%
North Carolina State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0
North Carolina State has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (116 turnovers/12 games) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 61.6 points per game (739 points/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 79.8
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has averaged 30.0 points per game (360 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 36.5
Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (278 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.6
North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 7.7 steals per game (230 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8
North Carolina State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (375 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
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