North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Virginia is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ACCN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 70.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+10.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 2.69% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.05 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 23-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 0.93% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State is shooting 40% from three (285/720) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

North Carolina State has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (192 turnovers/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.3

North Carolina State has made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.4

North Carolina State stole the ball 286 times last season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (224 steals/27 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Carolina State allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (140/407) in the second half last season — 5th highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia has allowed 60.4 points per game (3,382 points/56 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Virginia has allowed 60.4 points per game (3,382 points/56 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.6


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