- Virginia is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- North Carolina State / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2
The North Carolina State Wolfpack visit Spectrum Center to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00 pm.
Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The North Carolina State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +6.5 -105 | O 149.5 -105 | +240 |
| Virginia | -6.5 -115 | U 149.5 -115 | -300 |
North Carolina State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 2% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.52% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.3 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 20-12 when betting the Over for +6.8 Units / 19.32% ROI
- 12-20 when betting the Under for -10 Units / -28.41% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 26-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.95 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 12-19 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -26.1% ROI
- 19-12 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 17.01% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (554 assists/ 400 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
North Carolina State has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.3
North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/43 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.4
North Carolina State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (486 assists/ 289 TOs) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has allowed 9.2 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (256/845) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%
North Carolina State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (223/535) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%
North Carolina State has allowed 9.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.4
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
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