North Carolina State vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Wake Forest head coach Steve Forbes cheers on his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Virginia in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • Wake Forest (14-7) are -3.5 point favorites vs North Carolina State (16-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (16-5) visit Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (14-7) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Winston-Salem.

Wake Forest is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+3.5 -110154.5 -110+145
Wake Forest -3.5 -110154.5 -110-175

North Carolina State vs Wake Forest Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wake Forest will win this game with 56.9% confidence.

North Carolina State vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Carolina State and Wake Forest, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Wake Forest have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has gone 8-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has gone 12-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.05 Units / 8.84% ROI).

  • 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 10.57% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Over for +8.4 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Under for -10.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6

North Carolina State has averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (240 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

North Carolina State has averaged 79.3 points per game (1,665 points/21 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

North Carolina State has averaged 5.6 assists per game (295 assists/53 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,923 points/2,080 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Wake Forest has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Wake Forest has an eFG% of 55% this season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Wake Forest has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,626 points/1,206 shots) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 180 steals this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (180 steals/21 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

North Carolina State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (180 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has 405 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,544 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Wake Forest has 138 steals this season — 5th most among ACC Teams

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (167/467) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (88/282) in the first half this season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.