North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 24

• Virginia is a -6.5 point favorite vs North Carolina
• Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
• North Carolina / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Jan. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00 pm in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The North Carolina vs. Virginia Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 71.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 57.1% confidence for today’s game.

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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+16.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+14.20 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• North Carolina have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+18.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+17.30 Units / 1% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

• 15-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 0.47% ROI
• 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
• 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 13-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.5 Units / 37.88% ROI).

• 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 0.67% ROI
• 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI
• 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (323 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (850 assists/ 529 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

North Carolina averaged 36% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (799 free throw attempts/2,214 field goal attempts) last season — 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,321 points/1,215 shots) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (481/1,215) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

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