North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

Wake Forest head coach Steve Forbes cheers on his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Virginia in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
  • North Carolina is a -5.5 point favorite vs Wake Forest
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • North Carolina / Wake Forest TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels visit Spectrum Center to take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EDT in Charlotte, NC, NC, USA.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina-5.5 -115O 146.5 -105-250
Wake Forest +5.5 -105U 146.5 -115+200

North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina vs Wake Forest Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+10.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+5.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.88 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 13-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.95 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.19% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 4.28% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting the Under for -4.8 Units / -13.21% ROI

Wake Forest Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wake Forest has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.7 Units / -16.69% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 2.33% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina has averaged 81.7 points per game (2,613 points/32 games) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8

North Carolina averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (441 rebounds/35 games) last season — 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Wake Forest Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest is shooting 29% from three (177/606) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Wake Forest is shooting 80% from the free throw line (596/750) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Wake Forest has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Wake Forest has made 5.7 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

North Carolina allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (2,492 points/2,158 shots) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Wake Forest Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wake Forest has 224 steals this season — 5th most among ACC Teams

Wake Forest has averaged 7.2 steals per game (224 steals/31 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Wake Forest has averaged 6.4 steals per game (153 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Wake Forest has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (250/819) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.