North Dakota State vs Denver Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Denver head coach Jeff Wulbrun yells to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against UCLA Saturday, Dec. 10, 2022, in Los Angeles.
(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • North Dakota State is a -9.5 point favorite vs Denver
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • North Dakota State / Denver TV channel: ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison visit Hamilton Gymnasium to take on the Denver Pioneers on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

North Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The North Dakota State vs. Denver Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. Denver Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State-9.5 -115O 155.5 -110-550
Denver +9.5 -105U 155.5 -110+400

North Dakota State vs Denver Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Dakota State vs Denver Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Dakota State will cover the spread with 68.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 away games (+15.35 Units / 83% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.92 Units / 5% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 27.36% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 28.67% ROI
  • 12-3 when betting the Over for +8.7 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • 3-12 when betting the Under for -10.2 Units / -61.82% ROI

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.4 Units / -40.38% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.85 Units / -11.18% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has made 12.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

North Dakota State has a TS% of 54% this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

North Dakota State has made 12.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 9.4

North Dakota State is shooting 39% from three (476/1,207) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver averaged 80.9 points per game (2,589 points/32 games) last season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Denver averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (743 free throw attempts/1,978 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 30th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Denver averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (320 turnovers/32 games) last season — 5th highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Denver averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,589 points/1,978 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 3.2 steals per game (57 steals/18 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

North Dakota State has averaged 3.9 steals per game (196 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

North Dakota State averaged 4.3 steals per game (139 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State has forced 7.1 turnovers per game (128 turnovers/18 games) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 19.9 defensive rebounds per game (359 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Denver has allowed an average of 1.45 points per shot (1,462 points/1,011 shots) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Denver stole the ball 196 times last season — 2nd most among Summit Teams

Denver has 126 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.