North Dakota State vs South Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2023, 11:34 AM
  • South Dakota State (19-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs North Dakota State (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The North Dakota State Bison (15-16) visit Denny Sanford Premier Center to take on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (19-12) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Sioux Falls.

South Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Dakota State+4.5 -110O 140.5 -110+165
South Dakota State -4.5 -110U 140.5 -110-200

North Dakota State vs South Dakota State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Dakota State will win this game with 69.2% confidence.

North Dakota State vs South Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Dakota State will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both North Dakota State and South Dakota State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • North Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • North Dakota State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • North Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 47 games (+20.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+7.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games (+6.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • South Dakota State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

North Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Dakota State has gone 16-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 14.47% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI

South Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota State has gone 14-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 7.17% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

North Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (264 turnovers/23 games) this season — 5th highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 11.9

North Dakota State has averaged 72.2 points per game (1,661 points/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 72.0

North Dakota State has averaged 7.9 offensive rebounds per game (182 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 7.9

North Dakota State has a 31% free throw rate (414 free throw attempts/1,331 field goal attempts) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

South Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State is shooting 40% from three (510/1,269) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Dakota State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,662 points/3,401 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

South Dakota State is shooting 49% (1,669/3,401) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

South Dakota State has averaged 5.5 offensive rebounds per game (133 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

North Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Dakota State has averaged 4.0 steals per game (226 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Dakota State has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,521 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Dakota State has averaged 4.2 steals per game (97 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Dakota State has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9

South Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (594 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 23.9

South Dakota State has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,540 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.4

South Dakota State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (336 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.3

South Dakota State has averaged 5.1 steals per game (123 steals/24 games) this season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.