North Texas vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 23

South Florida guard Jayden Reid (0) drives toward the basket during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Florida, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024, in Jacksonville, Fla. Florida defeated South Florida 98-83. (AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
(AP Photo/Gary McCullough)
  • North Texas is a -4.5 point favorite vs South Florida
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • North Texas / South Florida TV channel: ESPNU

The North Texas Mean Green visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls on Feb. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Tampa, FL, USA.

North Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The North Texas vs. South Florida Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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North Texas vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Texas-4.5 -110O 129.5 -105-210
South Florida +4.5 -110U 129.5 -115+170

North Texas vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Texas will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Texas vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Texas will cover the spread with 68.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • North Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+2.80 Units / 1% ROI)
  • North Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)

North Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Texas has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.05 Units / 4.16% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.05 Units / -4.16% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.34% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 9-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -5.13% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.45 Units / -22.55% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 13.99% ROI

North Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas shot 38% from three (280/735) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Texas averaged 11.0 assists per game (364 assists/33 games) last season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

North Texas shot 38% from three (280/735) last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

North Texas has averaged 10.8 assists per game (626 assists/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.3

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (463 assists/ 344 TOs) last season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

South Florida averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (695 free throw attempts/1,832 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (865 assists/ 657 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

South Florida averaged 1.30 points per shot (2,389 points/1,832 shots) last season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

North Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Texas has allowed 58.8 points per game (1,471 points/25 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.1

North Texas has allowed 61.5 points per game (3,569 points/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72.7

North Texas has 199 steals this season — tied for 4th most among AAC Teams

North Texas has averaged 7.4 steals per game (431 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 7.9 steals per game (214 steals/27 games) this season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

South Florida has averaged 7.5 steals per game (441 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

South Florida has averaged 7.9 steals per game (214 steals/27 games) this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida has 214 steals this season — 2nd most among AAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.