Northern Colorado vs Montana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2023, 10:37 AM
  • Montana State (22-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Northern Colorado (12-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Northern Colorado Bears (12-19) visit Idaho Central Arena to take on the Montana State Bobcats (22-9) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Boise.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Northern Colorado vs. Montana State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Northern Colorado vs. Montana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Colorado+7.5 -110O 146.5 -110+270
Montana State -7.5 -110U 146.5 -110-350

Northern Colorado vs Montana State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Montana State will win this game with 65.1% confidence.

Northern Colorado vs Montana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Colorado will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northern Colorado and Montana State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Northern Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 13 away games (+3.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 50 games (+23.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)

Northern Colorado Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Colorado has gone 12-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -5.14% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.94% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.95 Units / -30.11% ROI

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has gone 19-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 10.07% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Northern Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has made 578 three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Northern Colorado has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Northern Colorado has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Northern Colorado has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has a 39% free throw rate (516 free throw attempts/1,319 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%

Montana State has 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Montana State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,475 points/3,271 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Montana State has attempted 516 free throws this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Northern Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has averaged 4.4 steals per game (265 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northern Colorado has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,475 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Northern Colorado has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (428/1,192) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Colorado has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (583 turnovers/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (568 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Montana State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (158 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7

Montana State has 158 steals this season — 2nd most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 5.8 steals per game (341 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.