Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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  • Toledo is a -11.5 point favorite vs Northern Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Northern Illinois / Toledo TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Illinois Huskies visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Toledo, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Northern Illinois vs Toledo Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 77.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Illinois vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+4.40 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Northern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Illinois has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 4.84% ROI
  • 7-17 when betting the Over for -11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI
  • 17-7 when betting the Under for +9.3 Units / 35.23% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 13-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -2.5% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois averaged 10.4 assists per game (312 assists/30 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Northern Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (1,017 assists/ 1,091 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northern Illinois had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (312 assists/ 366 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Illinois averaged 12.2 turnovers per game (366 turnovers/30 games) last season — 3rd highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo shot 48% (920/1,921) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (565 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Toledo had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Toledo averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (291 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Northern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Illinois forced 10.4 turnovers per game (311 turnovers/30 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Northern Illinois has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (185/566) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Northern Illinois averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (730 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Northern Illinois has averaged 5.9 steals per game (499 steals/85 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (2,575/5,387) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo allowed opponents to shoot 48% (916/1,904) last season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (493/1,350) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Toledo allowed 76.1 points per game (2,436 points/32 games) last season — 48th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.