Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

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  • Northern Iowa is a -4.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Northern Iowa / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Iowa Panthers visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Iowa-4.5 -110O 147.5 -105-200
Valparaiso +4.5 -110U 147.5 -115+165

Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Iowa will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+5.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.68 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.53% ROI
  • 3-10 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -55.94% ROI
  • 10-3 when betting the Under for +6.7 Units / 46.85% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.66% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (147 turnovers/14 games) this season — 48th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Northern Iowa has made 30 two point field goals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Northern Iowa has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (468 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Northern Iowa has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (112 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Valparaiso is shooting 80% from the free throw line (253/318) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Valparaiso shot 32% from three (224/693) last season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 6.5 steals per game (91 steals/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Northern Iowa averaged 6.4 steals per game (198 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (933 points/795 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Northern Iowa has allowed 66.6 points per game (933 points/14 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.0

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 5.4 steals per game (76 steals/14 games) this season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Valparaiso has averaged 5.4 steals per game (76 steals/14 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,230/2,617) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has allowed 72.4 points per game (1,013 points/14 games) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.