Northwestern vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
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  • Illinois is a -15.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Northwestern / Illinois TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Northwestern vs. Illinois Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Northwestern vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 78.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 63.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+14.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 35 games (+10.65 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.15 Units / -21.41% ROI).

  • 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -0.29% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 11-11 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.15 Units / 21.24% ROI).

  • 19-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 0.55% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (377 assists/ 183 TOs) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has averaged 8.3 turnovers per game (415 turnovers/50 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 10.7

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (377 assists/ 183 TOs) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 1,260 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Illinois has made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Illinois has averaged 80.4 points per game (3,057 points/38 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.7

Illinois has averaged 80.4 points per game (3,057 points/38 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.7

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (229/763) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 5.3 steals per game (111 steals/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Northwestern allowed 35.1 points per game (1,123 points/32 games) in the second half last season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 36.9

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has forced 8.0 turnovers per game (176 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Illinois has averaged 3.7 steals per game (81 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,501 points/1,393 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Illinois has averaged 4.2 steals per game (395 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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