Northwestern vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 8

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  • Michigan State is a -12.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Northwestern / Michigan State TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Jan. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Northwestern vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Northwestern vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 78.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.55 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 38 games (+19.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.70 Units / 14% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 5-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.75 Units / -31.15% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.04% ROI
  • 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
  • 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.65 Units / -3.92% ROI).

  • 13-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 0.94% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (214/714) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,837 rebounds/79 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Northwestern allowed 69.3 points per game (2,218 points/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (260 assists/ 123 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,237 assists/ 742 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (260 assists/ 123 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (214/714) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,837 rebounds/79 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Northwestern allowed 69.3 points per game (2,218 points/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (260 assists/ 123 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,237 assists/ 742 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (260 assists/ 123 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Northwestern had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (498 assists/ 290 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2


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