Northwestern State vs Incarnate Word Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 5

(AP Photo)
  • Incarnate Word is a -4.5 point favorite vs Northwestern State
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Northwestern State / Incarnate Word TV channel: ESPN+

The Northwestern State Demons visit Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center to take on the Incarnate Word Cardinals on Dec. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in San Antonio, TX.

Incarnate Word is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern State+4.5 -110O 140.5 -115+155
Incarnate Word -4.5 -110U 140.5 -105-190

Northwestern State vs Incarnate Word Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northwestern State will win this college basketball game with 60.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern State vs Incarnate Word Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Incarnate Word will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 16 away games (+15.05 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Northwestern State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Incarnate Word has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Northwestern State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern State has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.55 Units / -52.59% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Incarnate Word Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Incarnate Word has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Northwestern State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State shot 66% from the free throw line (397/604) last season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Northwestern State averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (309 rebounds/29 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Northwestern State averaged 35% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (604 free throw attempts/1,703 field goal attempts) last season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 36%

Northwestern State turned the ball over 374 times last season — 6th most among Southland Teams

Incarnate Word Offensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word shot 73% from the free throw line (427/587) last season — tied for 2nd best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 71%

Incarnate Word shot 51% from inside the arc (400/786) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Incarnate Word averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,981 points/1,604 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Incarnate Word shot 51% from inside the arc (400/786) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

Northwestern State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (199/632) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Northwestern State allowed 6.9 made three-pointers per game last season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 7.2

Incarnate Word Defensive Stats & Trends:

Incarnate Word averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (676 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Incarnate Word allowed opponents to shoot 45% (748/1,676) last season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Incarnate Word allowed opponents to shoot 45% (748/1,676) last season — 5th highest among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 44%


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