Northwestern State vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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  • UT Rio Grande Valley is a -10.5 point favorite vs Northwestern State
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Northwestern State / UT Rio Grande Valley TV channel: ESPN+

The Northwestern State Demons visit UTRGV Fieldhouse to take on the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Edinburg, TX.

UT Rio Grande Valley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-102).

The Northwestern State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Northwestern State vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Northwestern State vs UT Rio Grande Valley Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UT Rio Grande Valley will win this college basketball game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern State vs UT Rio Grande Valley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UT Rio Grande Valley will cover the spread with 61.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Northwestern State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UT Rio Grande Valley have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 40% ROI)

Northwestern State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern State has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI).

  • 8-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -28.11% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

UT Rio Grande Valley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UT Rio Grande Valley has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.45% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Over for -7.7 Units / -25% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI

Northwestern State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (229 rebounds/30 games) this season — lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northwestern State has averaged 12.0 assists per game (359 assists/30 games) this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Northwestern State has averaged 69.2 points per game (2,076 points/30 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Northwestern State has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (229 rebounds/30 games) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

UT Rio Grande Valley Offensive Stats & Trends:

UT Rio Grande Valley has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 51%

UT Rio Grande Valley has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 47%

UT Rio Grande Valley made 5.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

UT Rio Grande Valley has made 10.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northwestern State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern State allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (199/632) last season — 4th best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Northwestern State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (618 steals/92 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Northwestern State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/30 games) this season — 5th lowest among Southland Teams; League Avg: 22.2

Northwestern State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 23.9

UT Rio Grande Valley Defensive Stats & Trends:

UT Rio Grande Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (206/678) this season — best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 33%

UT Rio Grande Valley has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (709/1,716) this season — best among Southland Teams ; League Avg: 44%

UT Rio Grande Valley averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UT Rio Grande Valley forced 14.0 turnovers per game (421 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.