Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2023, 12:19 PM
  • Duke (17-8) are -11.5 point favorites vs Notre Dame (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-15) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (17-8) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Durham.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Notre Dame vs. Duke Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame+11.5 -105O 140.5 -110+525
Duke -11.5 -115U 140.5 -110-750

Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 74.9% confidence.

Notre Dame vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and Duke, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games at home (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 47 games (+10.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has gone 6-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-14.9 Units / -54.18% ROI).

  • 10-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.85 Units / -11.05% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 14.91% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -23.27% ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has gone 9-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.6 Units / -31.27% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Notre Dame has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (413 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.7

Notre Dame has averaged 6.8 offensive rebounds per game (150 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Notre Dame has averaged 4.5 turnovers per game (98 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has 661 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Duke is shooting 42% (275/649) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (965 assists/ 669 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Duke has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (709 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Notre Dame has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Notre Dame has averaged 5.0 steals per game (286 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has averaged 4.8 steals per game (110 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,660 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Duke has averaged 5.3 steals per game (117 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Duke has allowed 66.3 points per game (4,044 points/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.3

Duke has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,401 points/1,257 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.19


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.