Notre Dame vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Louisville head coach Pat Kelsey shouts instructions to his team during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Tennessee in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024. Tennessee won 77-55. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
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  • Louisville is a -17.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Notre Dame / Louisville TV channel: ESPN2

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Louisville, KY.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The Notre Dame vs. Louisville Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Notre Dame vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Notre Dame vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+13.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -0.63% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 11-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.22% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 0.22% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.35 Units / -27.43% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.22% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Notre Dame averaged 10.0 assists per game (321 assists/32 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 13.6

Notre Dame shot 28% from three (102/359) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (343 assists/ 398 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (733 assists/ 640 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (301 turnovers/36 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Notre Dame has forced 8.0 turnovers per game (183 turnovers/23 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.9

Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 steals per game (91 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Notre Dame has averaged 4.3 steals per game (95 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — tied for highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.