Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

• North Carolina is a -12.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
• Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
• Notre Dame / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN2

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 75.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Notre Dame vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 58.1% confidence for today’s game.

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Notre Dame Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
• Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
• Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
• Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)

North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:

• North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+16.00 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games at home (+15.90 Units / 1% ROI)
• North Carolina have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
• North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

• 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -0.35% ROI
• 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI
• 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.53% ROI).

• 14-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 0.43% ROI
• 8-10 when betting the Over for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI
• 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,252 points/1,140 shots) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 steals per game (83 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Notre Dame has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Notre Dame has forced 8.0 turnovers per game (169 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Notre Dame has averaged 4.3 steals per game (78 steals/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,252 points/1,140 shots) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 steals per game (83 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Notre Dame has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (287 turnovers/34 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.8

Notre Dame has forced 8.0 turnovers per game (169 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Notre Dame has averaged 4.3 steals per game (78 steals/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

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