Ohio State vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 10:34 AM
  • Iowa (19-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (14-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Ohio State Buckeyes (14-18) visit United Center to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (19-12) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Chicago.

Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Ohio State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+4.5 -115O 153.5 -110+155
Iowa -4.5 -105U 153.5 -110-190

Ohio State vs Iowa Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 55.6% confidence.

Ohio State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+2.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has gone 12-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-10 Units / -28.45% ROI).

  • 8-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.65 Units / -56.88% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -1.56% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.4% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has gone 17-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -6.91% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 38% from three (154/407) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State has averaged 75.9 points per game (1,669 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.6

Ohio State is shooting 74% from the free throw line (167/225) in the second half this season — tied for 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Ohio State has 244 turnovers this season — 7th most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (941 assists/ 564 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has averaged 88.1 points per game (3,085 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,487 points/1,313 shots) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,487 points/1,313 shots) this season — tied for 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (153/470) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Ohio State has averaged 4.8 steals per game (260 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 7.5 steals per game (263 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Iowa has 405 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has 141 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has averaged 6.4 steals per game (141 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.