Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 19, 2023, 10:24 AM
  • Purdue (23-4) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-15) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (23-4) on Feb. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in West Lafayette.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Ohio State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+11.5 -105O 139.5 -115+475
Purdue -11.5 -115U 139.5 -105-700

Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 75.1% confidence.

Ohio State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 46 games (+17.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+14.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has gone 8-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-11.8 Units / -41.26% ROI).

  • 5-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.85 Units / -67.04% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.62% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.91% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has gone 10-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.15 Units / 7.14% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 46% (621/1,337) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ohio State has averaged 1.30 points per shot (3,998 points/3,077 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Ohio State is shooting 37% from three (405/1,095) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State has averaged 1.39 points per shot (897 points/645 shots) in the second half this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.31

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (540/1,313) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Ohio State has averaged 4.8 steals per game (260 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ohio State has allowed 67.6 points per game (1,487 points/22 games) this season — 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 65.7

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,487 points/1,313 shots) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (995 points/947 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,448 points/1,283 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.