Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2023, 10:51 AM
  • Purdue (27-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (16-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Ohio State Buckeyes (16-18) visit United Center to take on the #5 Purdue Boilermakers (27-5) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chicago.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Ohio State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

Bet now on Purdue vs Ohio State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Ohio State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+7.5 -110O 132.5 -110+275
Purdue -7.5 -110U 132.5 -110-350

Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 66.0% confidence.

Ohio State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Purdue vs Ohio State and all games with BetMGM


  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.70 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.35 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 50 games (+21.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+15.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has gone 14-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-8 Units / -21.42% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.65 Units / -46.37% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.75 Units / -7.34% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.61% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has gone 11-20 against the spread this college basketball season (-11 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 21-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 6.74% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State is shooting 41% from three (72/174) in the second half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Ohio State has averaged 12.2 assists per game (269 assists/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 14.0

Ohio State is shooting 46% (621/1,337) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ohio State has averaged 11.4 turnovers per game (352 turnovers/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,564 points/1,177 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,639 points/3,379 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (540/1,313) this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,312/3,173) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Ohio State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (144/477) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,653 points/3,173 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (995 points/947 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.04 points per shot (1,387 points/1,338 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue has allowed an average of 0.97 points per shot (634 points/652 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.06


Bet now on Purdue vs Ohio State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.