Oklahoma vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
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  • Kentucky is a -9.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Oklahoma / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN2

The Oklahoma Sooners visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Oklahoma vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Oklahoma vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 75.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Oklahoma vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+4.30 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+4.15 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has a 7-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.55 Units / -39.38% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.04% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Over for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/18 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma shot 59% from inside the arc (128/215) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/108) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 47% (9/19) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed 36.4 points per game (801 points/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39.5

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky has averaged 27.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,440 rebounds/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Kentucky has allowed 71.0 points per game (1,563 points/22 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 75.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.