Oklahoma vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

Kentucky head coach Mark Pope gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson Tuesday, Dec. 3, 2024, in Clemson, S.C. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
(AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
  • Kentucky is a -6.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Oklahoma / Kentucky TV channel: SECN

The Oklahoma Sooners visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Oklahoma vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma+6.5 -105O 161.5 -110+230
Kentucky -6.5 -115U 161.5 -110-295

Oklahoma vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 76.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Oklahoma vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.60 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+0.80 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has a 17-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.55 Units / 1.56% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 0.96% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 13.33% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.85 Units / -22.33% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.65 Units / -1.9% ROI).

  • 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.9 Units / 1.43% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma shot 47% (310/658) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Oklahoma had an eFG% of 54% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (423/1,400) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 48% (160/331) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (167/557) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (883 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.1

Kentucky has allowed 77.0 points per game (2,387 points/31 games) this season — 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.3

Kentucky has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (883 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Kentucky has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.