Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

Texas head coach Rodney Terry calls to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against UConn in Austin, Texas, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024. (AP Photo/Eric Gay)
(AP Photo/Eric Gay)
  • Texas is a -5.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Oklahoma / Texas TV channel: SECN

The Oklahoma Sooners visit Moody Center to take on the Texas Longhorns on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Austin, TX, TX, USA.

Texas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Oklahoma vs. Texas Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma+5.5 -115O 154.5 -115+180
Texas -5.5 -105U 154.5 -105-220

Oklahoma vs Texas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas will win this college basketball game with 78.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Oklahoma vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games (+4.00 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 away games (+1.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.55 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+0.75 Units / 0% ROI)

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.52% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.75 Units / -23.52% ROI

Texas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.39% ROI).

  • 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.14% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 21.21% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -29.7% ROI

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma had 110 turnovers in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma shot 47% (189/405) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas averaged 1.49 points per shot (73 points/49 shots) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Texas averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (152 turnovers/32 games) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Texas averaged 1.4 turnovers per game (26 turnovers/18 games) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.2

Texas averaged 1.28 points per shot (429 points/335 shots) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (69 points/57 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Oklahoma has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (415/1,379) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 48% (160/331) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Texas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three off the dribble (13/28) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 57% on catch and shoot opportunities (12/21) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 17% from three off the dribble (6/36) in the first half last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 27%

Texas allowed opponents to shoot 50% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (10/20) in transition last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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