Ole Miss vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:21 AM
  • Missouri (22-8) is a Missouri -9.5 point favorite vs Ole Miss (11-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Ole Miss Rebels (11-19) visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers (22-8) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Columbia.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Ole Miss vs. Missouri Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Ole Miss vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ole Miss+9.5 -115O 148.5 -110+340
Missouri -9.5 -105U 148.5 -110-450

Ole Miss vs Missouri Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 69.4% confidence.

Ole Miss vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ole Miss and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 away games (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games (+26.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has gone 10-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -16.84% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.97% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.4 Units / 19.85% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,656 points/3,101 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Ole Miss is shooting 30% from three (129/433) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Ole Miss has averaged 1.19 points per shot (2,442 points/2,054 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Ole Miss has averaged 1.16 points per shot (1,476 points/1,277 shots) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a TS% of 52% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 47%

Missouri has an eFG% of 56% this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Missouri has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (381 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Missouri has made 9.4 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (239/706) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ole Miss has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,723 points/1,517 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.10

Ole Miss has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (489/1,061) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Ole Miss has allowed 67.4 points per game (2,360 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 65.6

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (483 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Missouri has 242 steals this season — most among SEC Teams

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (3,983 points/3,134 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.