Oregon vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
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  • Illinois is a -18.5 point favorite vs Oregon
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Oregon / Illinois TV channel: PEAC | NBCS

The Oregon Ducks visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).

The Oregon vs. Illinois Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Oregon vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Oregon vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 79.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Oregon vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 66.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+13.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Oregon Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oregon has a 11-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.75 Units / -27.47% ROI).

  • 11-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -4.7% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 22-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oregon is shooting 33% from three (230/706) this season — tied for 44th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Oregon is shooting 43% (706/1,648) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%

Oregon is shooting 43% (706/1,648) this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Oregon averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (320 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has made 11.2 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.4

Illinois has made 11.2 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.4

Illinois has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (394 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3

Illinois has averaged 81.3 points per game (3,334 points/41 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oregon has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (738/1,677) this season — 4th highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Oregon allowed opponents to shoot 45% (825/1,832) last season — tied for 40th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Oregon allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (45/138) in the first half last season — 4th highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oregon allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (474 points/367 shots) in the second half last season — 5th highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 3.7 steals per game (108 steals/29 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois has forced 7.8 turnovers per game (227 turnovers/29 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Illinois has forced 8.2 turnovers per game (644 turnovers/79 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.1

Illinois has forced 8.6 turnovers per game (868 turnovers/101 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.