- Michigan is a -24.5 point favorite vs Penn State
- Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
- Penn State / Michigan TV channel: FS1
The Penn State Nittany Lions visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Ann Arbor, MI.
Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-115).
The Penn State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 161.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Penn State vs Michigan Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Penn State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Penn State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 away games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
Michigan Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+4.65 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Penn State has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -0.7% ROI
- 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
- 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan has a 10-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 19-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -0.61% ROI
- 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
- 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has averaged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (207 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
Penn State shot 75% from the free throw line (502/671) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Penn State has averaged 76.5 points per game (1,682 points/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 78.8
Penn State has averaged 13.5 assists per game (298 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 15.8
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan is shooting 52% (346/661) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%
Michigan had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (358 assists/ 381 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Michigan has averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (783 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.1
Michigan has averaged 1.48 points per shot (1,900 points/1,286 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.33
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Penn State has averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (466 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6
Penn State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (213/564) this season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Penn State forced 14.8 turnovers per game (472 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Penn State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (264/768) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,447 points/1,363 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (503/1,363) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (503/1,363) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Michigan has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (640 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6
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