Penn State vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2023, 12:11 PM
  • Purdue (21-1) are -10.5 point favorites vs Penn State (14-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Penn State Nittany Lions (14-7) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (21-1) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in West Lafayette.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Penn State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Penn State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Penn State+10.5 -115O 135.5 -110+400
Purdue -10.5 -105U 135.5 -110-550

Penn State vs Purdue Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 70.0% confidence.

Penn State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Penn State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 42 games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+16.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 41 games (+14.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Penn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Penn State has gone 14-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 12-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 15.31% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has gone 8-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 10.31% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.8 offensive rebounds per game (121 rebounds/21 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.7

Penn State has made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Penn State has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (183 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.3

Penn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (177 assists/ 74 TOs) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has averaged 1.33 points per shot (1,564 points/1,177 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Purdue is shooting 48% (566/1,177) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,559 points/3,324 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,559 points/3,324 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Penn State has averaged 5.1 steals per game (108 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Penn State has averaged 4.7 steals per game (104 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Penn State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (272 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Penn State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (168 steals/30 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,327 points/1,285 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (1,327 points/1,285 shots) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.05 points per shot (935 points/894 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,448 points/1,283 shots) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.